How to Track Whales on Polymarket
A complete guide to identifying and following large traders on Polymarket prediction markets.
What is a Polymarket Whale?
A "whale" in the context of Polymarket is a trader who makes large-volume trades, typically $10,000 or more per position. These traders often have significant capital and may possess better information or analytical capabilities than average traders.
Tracking whales can provide valuable insights because their trades often move markets and may indicate informed trading activity. However, it's important to remember that even whales can be wrong.
Why Track Whales?
- Early Signals
Whale movements often precede significant price changes.
- Market Sentiment
Large trades can indicate where smart money believes the market is heading.
- Pattern Recognition
Some whales have consistent win rates that can be tracked over time.
How to Identify Whales
1. Trade Size
Look for individual trades of $5,000+ or daily volume of $25,000+ from a single wallet address.
2. Consistent Activity
Real whales trade regularly, not just one-off large bets. Look for wallets with multiple large trades over time.
3. Win Rate
Track the historical performance of wallet addresses. A whale with 70%+ win rate may have an information edge.
4. Timing
Notice when whales trade relative to news events. Trades before major announcements may indicate informed trading.
On-Chain Verification
All Polymarket trades are recorded on the Polygon blockchain, making them fully verifiable. You can use PolygonScan to:
- • View any wallet's complete trading history
- • Verify transaction amounts and timestamps
- • Track token movements between addresses
- • Confirm trade authenticity
Best Practices
Important Warnings
- • Never blindly copy whale trades - they can be wrong too
- • Consider the context and do your own research
- • Large trades can also be hedges or position management
- • Past performance doesn't guarantee future results
- • This is not financial advice
Ready to Track Whales?
Use our whale tracker to see real-time large trades on Polymarket.
Go to Whale Tracker